Nov 12, 2008

Mall owner in liquidity crunch

General Growth Properties, a nationwide owner and manager of shopping malls, said in a Securities and Exchange Commission filing that it might be forced to file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy if it could not refinance nearly $1 billion in debt coming due in December.

It owns four shopping malls in South Florida:

  • Bayside Marketplace in Miami
  • Village of Merrick Park in Coral Gables
  • Pembroke Lakes Mall in Pembroke Pines
  • Mizner Park in Boca Raton

General Growth (NYSE: GGP) shares fell 14 cents on Wednesday to close at a new low of 35 cents after Standard & Poor’s said it was dropping it from the S&P 500.

In addition to the nearly $1 billion due in December, it has more than $3 billion coming due in 2009, a legacy from General Growth’s 2004 purchase of the Rouse Co. for $7.2 billion plus $5.4 billion of assumed debt.

Bill Hemingway, managing director of Integra Realty resources’ Miami office, said General Growth’s local mall properties may not be performing poorly, even though retailing in general is down.

“I don’t think the properties will go dark, but there may be some rent adjustments in the near future because of the expected poor Christmas season,” he said. “It would have to be on an area-by-area and property-by-property basis.”

He added that General Growth’s over-leveraged debt strategy appears to be backfiring in the current retail and debt climate.

source: South Florida Business Journal


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Rory Vanucchi
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Apartment Market Weakens

From the National Multi Housing Council (NMHC): Weakening Economic Conditions Create Challenging Conditions For Apartment Sector, According to National Multi Housing Council Survey (hat tip Jon Lansner at the O.C. Register)

“Nine straight months of job losses have begun to cut into the demand for apartment residences,” said Mark Obrinsky, NMHC’s Vice President of Research and Chief Economist. “While favorable demographics and a lower homeownership rate will benefit the apartment industry over time, owners and managers will first have to work their way through the current economic downturn before the benefits of that increased demand are likely to show up. Until then, economic worry will cause some people to “double up” by moving in with a friend or returning to their parents’ house.”

The Market Tightness Index, which measures changes in occupancy rates and/or rents, dropped from 40 last quarter to 24. This was the fifth straight quarter in which the index has been below 50. (For all of the survey indexes, a reading above 50 indicates that, on balance, conditions are improving; a reading below 50 indicates that conditions are worsening; and a reading of 50 indicates that conditions are unchanged.)
Apartment Tightness Index
Click on graph for larger image in new window.

This graph shows the quarterly Apartment Tightness Index.

As NMHC chief economist Obrinsky noted, it is common in a recession for apartment vacancies to rise, as households double up by moving in with a friend or family member. However an added factor in this recession is all the single family homes being offered as rentals. This is additional competition for apartments and might also be impacting demand for apartments.

source: calculated risk


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Rory Vanucchi
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Boat sales not completely sunk

While attendance may be down at the 49th annual Fort Lauderdale International Boat Show and boat sales have run into choppy seas, some positive signs persist for both the show and boat sales across South Florida.

The show, which ran Oct. 30 through Nov. 3, saw a 4 percent decrease in attendance from last year for all of the days of the show, excluding the final Monday, a show spokeswoman said.

Show Management, the managerial agency, did not immediately provide exact headcounts for each day or final figures. The spokeswoman estimated that between 130,000 and 140,000 people attended last year.

Sales figures may not be available until a week after the show ends, but the general outlook was positive, according to Show Management COO Andrew Doole.

However, the show's projected economic impact, which includes hotel bookings and restaurant sales, has been revised from $720 million to $650 million.

The financial crisis caused some concern for vendors and show organizers, he said. Still, “I think everybody here is pleasantly surprised at the crowd we’ve got.”

The crowd was relatively steady, thanks to increased marketing efforts abroad. The show targeted Russia, the Middle East and South America, in particular, Doole said. The result: a 15 percent increase in international attendance.

International attendance was helped by the fact that many new marinas have been built in Central and South America and the value of the U.S. dollar, which, until recently, had declined against many foreign currencies, Doole said.

“The boats here are a bargain at the moment,” he noted.

While the dollar and the soft market for smaller boats have caused many price tags to drop, not every boat is a bargain. Some brokers and builders said the megayacht sector –those boats longer than 80 feet and often priced in the millions – are selling just fine.

“Under 100 feet or under 80 feet, those guys are dying,” said Tim Johnson, a broker at International Yacht Collection’s Fort Lauderdale office. But, since most of International Yacht Collection’s boats are “well above” 100 feet and its clientele is extremely affluent, the company’s business is steady, he said.

“People ask me on a daily basis: ‘Isn’t the price of fuel affecting your business?’ Oh, give me a break,” Johnson said.

Mike Dickman, director of marketing for HMY Yacht Sales in Dania Beach, said that most of HMY’s boats are in the mid range – 45 feet to 80 feet – exposing them to more market pressure than the biggest boats. Still, early sales from this year’s show forecast a better year than last, he said.

The credit crunch may make financing a boat more difficult, but it didn’t play a large role, said Frank Herhold, executive director of Marine Industries Association of South Florida. However, it could impact lower-end sales where the industry is seeing a slowdown, he said.

“My gut feeling is [getting financing is] a little bit tougher but it’s there,” Herhold said. “I haven’t had dealers tell me they lost a sale because they couldn’t get financing.”

At any rate, the high-end deals are mostly cash, he noted.

South Florida Business Journal reported data in late September showing that new boat sales here declined 26 percent for the first half of 2008 compared to the same period in 2007.

The decline is a large concern for the marine industry, which has an estimated $13.5 million impact on the region and accounts for more than 150,000 jobs.

source: south florida business journal - by Bill Frogameni


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Bruce Springsteen spends $4.6M in Wellington

by Christine Scott, published Tuesday, November 11 1:39 PM ·
Mr. Springsteen
Mr. Springsteen
Bruce Springsteen bought a five-bedroom, six-bath home at 3561 Ambassador Road in Wellington from William Farish, Jr., and his wife, Kelley, for $4.6 million on Sept. 26.

According to the Daily Business Review, Springsteen purchased the property through an entity titled Stone Hill Trust.

The 5,946-square-foot home is in the Equestrian Club Estates subdivision, which is home to the the annual Winter Equestrian Festival. Springsteen's 15-year-old daughter, Jessica, is an equestrian.

Springsteen is largely considered one of the greatest American popular recording artists in history. Known for penning songs that reflected the working class roots of his New Jersey upbringing, "The Boss," has won eighteen Grammy Awards, an Academy Award, and sold over 65 million albums in the U.S and 120 million worldwide.

Springsteen first started playing small clubs in the 1960s, but it wasn't until 1973 that he released his first major label album, Greetings from Asbury Park, N.J. The album, along with second release, The Wild, the Innocent & the E Street Shuffle, were critical successes.

His third album, Born to Run, made Springsteen a household name name. The album included hits "Born to Run" and "Thunder Road."

He would go on to make a handful of other acclaimed albums before 1984's Born in the U.S.A., arguably his most popular album. It contained timeless classics "Born in the U.S.A.," "Dancing in the Dark" and "I'm on Fire."

Springsteen has continued to tour and record original material, most recently The Magic, which was released in Oct. 2007.

He married his second wife, Patti Scialfa, in 1981. The couple resides primarily in the affluent community of Rumson, N.J.

Springsteen paid $3.1 million for the nearby property at 3561 Ambassador Road on June 20.

Mr. Farish has been the principal overseer of Lane's End Farm, a breeding establishment for thoroughbred race-horses owned by his parents. He has served as an executive vice president and director of W.S. Farish & Co., an investment management company. He also founded Woodford Racing, LLC, a racing stable with over 50 horses.

The University of Virginia graduate was as a personal aide to former President George H.W. Bush and worked with Texas Commerce and Merrill Lynch.

Mrs. Farish has worked at the American Horse Council in Washington as a research associate. She graduated from Rollins College.

There have been 849 sales in Wellington in 2008, with a median price of $312,000.

link to the original post:
http://southflorida.blockshopper.com/news/story/204968

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Rory Vanucchi
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Mortgage assistance plan could save the homes of many South Floridians

Troubled borrowers embroiled in the worst housing debacle in decades will get lifelines from the government and the banking industry.

The Federal Housing Finance Agency and other agencies said Tuesday they plan to speed up the process for renegotiating hundreds of thousands of past-due home loans held by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

Tuesday's announcement, along with recent loan-modification strategies from major banks, could go a long way toward easing the nation's housing slump.

"This will be a way to keep people paying their mortgages, staying in their homes and breathing a little bit," said Paula Siegel, 60, a Boynton Beach resident who hopes to benefit from a loan restructuring by Countrywide Financial Corp.

Citigroup, Bank of America and JP Morgan Chase & Co. have agreed to modify delinquent mortgages after getting money from the federal government. As part of the $700 billion bailout, the U.S. Treasury is handing out cash to recapitalize struggling banks.

South Florida, in particular, has been hammered by plummeting home prices and foreclosures during the past few years. Many people stretched to buy homes they ultimately couldn't afford.

One in every 124 households in Broward County was in foreclosure in September, according to RealtyTrac, an Irvine, Calif.-based company. One in every 238 households is facing foreclosure in Palm Beach County. RealtyTrac is set to release October numbers on Thursday.

"It's time that the government is taking the bull by the horns and helping the people down at the bottom who need help the most," said Lew Freeman, a banking consultant in Fort Lauderdale and Miami.

Fannie and Freddie, taken over by the federal government in September, own or guarantee nearly 31 million U.S. mortgages. Officials do not yet have an estimate of how many people would qualify for the new program, which goes into effect Dec. 15.

Borrowers would have to be at least 90 days behind on their home loans and would need to owe 90 percent or more than the home is currently worth. Excluded would be investors who do not occupy their homes and borrowers who have filed for bankruptcy.

Borrowers would benefit by getting reduced interest rates and having loans extended from 30 years to 40 years. In some cases, the principal amount would be deferred interest-free.

"The most important element is the principal write-downs," said Brad Hunter, a housing analyst based in West Palm Beach. "Modifying loans to lower the interest rates helps some, but not enough."

Citigroup said late Monday it is freezing foreclosures for borrowers who live in their own homes, have good incomes and stand a decent chance of making lowered mortgage payments. The bank is targeting homeowners in Florida and other states with large unemployment and foreclosure rates. The program is expected to affect about $20 billion in mortgages.

Late last month, Chase expanded its mortgage modification program to an estimated $70 billion in loans.

There's no public record of large regional players such as Fort Lauderdale-based BankAtlantic and BankUnited of Coral Gables taking the government handouts, said Ken Thomas, a Miami-based economist and banking analyst. Until then, they may not be so willing to modify home loans, he said.

"Once they're approved for government assistance, I would expect them to follow a similar [loan-modification] program," Thomas said.

Bank of America said it will modify an estimated 400,000 loans held by newly acquired Countrywide as part of an $8.4 billion legal settlement reached with 11 states, including Florida, in early October.

Even though banks stand to lose money on the renegotiated mortgages, "they'll still have people in the houses protecting their interest," Thomas said. "The last thing you want to see in a neighborhood is newspapers out front and the grass three feet tall."

This report was supplemented by the Associated Press

Paul Owers can be reached at powers@sunsentinel.com or 561-243-6529.

source: sun sentinal

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